Monte Carlo Manual Exercise

This Monte Carlo by hand exercise is a simple yet powerful introduction to probabilistic thinking in well planning. By manually simulating drilling durations or costs, you'll uncover how small variations can impact outcomes—and why embracing uncertainty with tools like PLANS leads to better, more resilient project decisions. It's a hands-on way to understand the value behind every probability curve.

But as you'll quickly discover, running hundreds or thousands of these simulations by hand, or spreadsheets, is no small task. That’s exactly why we let PLANS do the heavy lifting!